Marathon Petroleum (MPC): Insider Moves, Analyst Shifts, and a Stock Surge Investors Can’t Ignore

Jacques Francis

Updated on:

Insider Signals

Investors often watch insider transactions for clues, and Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) has seen notable activity. On August 15, 2025, Benson Molly R sold shares valued at $1,773,277, letting go of 10,879 shares at $163 each. After the sale, the insider’s holdings declined to 28,700 shares, valued at roughly $5.5 million. Interestingly, Benson Molly R also purchased 10,879 shares, generating proceeds of more than $1.77 million.

Before this, Director Rucker Kim K.W. sold 7,392 shares in a trade worth $1,293,600 at $175 per share. Following the sale, Rucker’s stake dropped to 7,392 shares worth approximately $3.63 million.

Analyst Sentiment

Analysts remain active and divided about the stock. Wells Fargo initiated coverage on October 17, 2025, maintaining an Overweight rating and raising its price target to 214. TD Cowen reaffirmed its Buy rating in early August. Raymond James shifted its stance on July 15, 2025, reducing a Strong Buy to an Outperform. A day earlier, Wolfe Research downgraded MPC from Outperform to Peer Perform.

Stock Performance

In its latest trading session, Marathon Petroleum Corp rose 0.92% to close at 191.74. The stock moved between 189.75 and 193.5 over the day. Over the last five sessions, MPC slipped by about 1.93%. Year to date, the stock has surged roughly 20.99%. The company reached a 52-week high of 202.29 on November 14, 2025, while the yearly low stands at 115.10 as of April 7, 2025.

Support and Resistance

The 24-hour chart highlights immediate support at 189.83. A break below this level may push the stock toward 187.91. On the upside, resistance stands at 193.58, followed by a second barrier at 195.41. The 14-day RSI sits at 49.33, indicating neutral momentum.

Short Interest

Short interest in Marathon Petroleum Corp declined sharply on November 14, 2025, falling by 0.16 million shares to 7.21 million. This marks a 2.27% decrease from the 7.37 million shares reported on October 15. With short shares making up around 3.63% of the float, the days-to-cover ratio now also stands at 3.63, suggesting a mild improvement in market sentiment.

Ownership Outlook

FactSet’s 12-month forecast places MPC’s average price target at 197, which is about 3.68% above the previous closing price of 190. Analysts project the stock could reach 220 by 2025, with the most conservative target at 170. By the end of 2025, 13 analysts rated the stock as Buy. On June 18, 2025, Evercore ISI began coverage with an In-line rating and a price target of 170.

If these trends continue, Marathon Petroleum remains a closely watched pick for investors seeking signals from insider moves and evolving analyst sentiment.

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